Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Last-minute draft thoughts

RamView's going to have to bail on the mock draft this year. After an hour, I still hadn't made it past #6. I'll replace it instead with a bunch of dumb draft night predictions:

1. QBs go 1-2. Yes, that means you, Tennessee. I can't decide if "We want to see what we have in Zach Mettenberger" is the dumbest smokescreen ever or the dumbest offensive plan ever.
2. Most mocks have picks 3 and 4 reversed. I think the Jagwires are hurting a lot more at WR than they are on defense. 32nd in scoring, 31st in passing, their QBs were sacked 71 times, and they don't even have Cecil F. Shorts coming back. They'd better take Amari Cooper or Kevin White if they don't want Julius Thomas triple-teamed every week, or if they want Blake Bortles to outlast Sam Bradford. Derek Carr needs targets in Oakland, but they're pretty old and very unproductive up front on D. Think they'd better pounce on Leonard Williams if he falls to their pick.

3. A big reason my mock draft stalled was because I couldn't figure out defensive scheme fits. Lots of mocks have 4-3 guys like Vic Beasley and Dante Fowler going to 3-4 teams like the Jets and Redskins. Unfortunately for those teams, the best 3-4 pass rushers usually left to them are Randy Gregory and Shane Ray. Let's see if one of them trades down.

4. Chicago could go three or four logical ways with their pick. I'm figuring they take one of the top two WRs. Either would be BPA and fill a need.

That will also save a significant long scream from a few miles east of St. Louis. On NFL Network the last two nights, mock drafters have had Amari Cooper available at #10, then Cooper AND Marcus Mariota available at #10, and projected the Rams to take an offensive lineman. For the record, Winston, Mariota, Cooper or White should trump all needs the Rams have on offensive lines if their "war room" has anyone in it with any brains.

5. Allow me to make one correct prediction... a pass rusher to Atlanta. Next?

6. The Giants are very intriguing at #9. Lots of folks say o-line/Brandon Scherff to them, but I thought their o-line had rounded into shape pretty nicely by the end of last season. Just ask Sack City. Their reputation is that they consistently take the BPA, but would they really take a QB or WR at #9? My sleeper pick there is Trae Waynes; the Rams would have made last December's game a real shootout if they'd had a QB who could throw a decent deep ball. Ram receivers were getting behind that secondary, but Shaun Hill cost them a good 3 TDs.

7. 25% the Rams have a shot at one of the top two WRs, 75% the pick's an offensive lineman, if they stay here. My guess is still that they are close enough to having Barksdale signed that they can plan on having him at RT. I think that rules out Andrus Peat and probably Ereck Flowers. And La'el Collins picked exactly the wrong time to be caught up in a murder investigation. Even though there's no report he visited Rams Park or the Rams worked him out, I'm starting to think I need to whip up a Brandon Scherff profile for tomorrow night.

8. Giving me until Friday night to whip up a profile for Bryce Petty.

All I'll really be trying to do this weekend is get profiles up here for the players the Rams do pick. Enjoy the madness!

-$-



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