14. Chicago - Aaron Donald, DT, Pitt.
They're telegraphing this pick so badly in the Windy City that they've probably talked themselves into having to trade up.
15. Pittsburgh - Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA.
Steelers were near the bottom of the league in sacks last year. It's actually impressive they got as close to the playoffs as they did; this has to be the least-talented Steeler roster I've seen in years.
16. Dallas - Kony Ealy, DE, Mizzou.
Figure Jerrah to see those 9.5 sacks in the SEC last year and reach for need.
17. Baltimore - Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan.
Zack Martin was strongly in play here, but I had a hard time seeing Baltimore let a top play-making corner get away from them.
18. Jets - C.J. Mosley, LB, Alabama.
Do you really think Rex Ryan will take an offensive player? The Jets are far from spectacularly talented at LB, and their secondary also needs a lot of help. I had Calvin Pryor here originally, but then Mosley dropped ridiculously far. He's a steal here, let alone the end of the round.
19. Miami - Zack Martin, T, Notre Dame.
Dolphins thank me for painting a dream scenario. Their o-line was so decimated by the Richie Incognito mess that their hand is almost forced to draft o-line, and they get as versatile and as good a blocker as there is left. Speaking of Incognito, yes, he made the Pro Bowl after leaving the Rams, but dumping him is still one of the best moves the Spagvaney regime made. He's now Exhibit A reminding teams to always be careful with character risks.
20. Big Dead - Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon.
OOH, I HATE THIS PICK if the Big Dead make it, because it's the last piece to what should be a hell of a team in 2014. Hopefully this idea will encourage Philadelphia to trade up to 13. About the only thing Arizona's missing heading into this season is a speedy slot receiver, a position that's almost always underperformed for them. So plug in the fastest receiver in the draft and a guy born to play the slot. Good luck covering that.
21. Green Bay - Odell Beckham, WR, LSU.
Didn't see good values at pass rush, tight end or right tackle here, but Green Bay's fearsome WR depth of recent years is thinning down pretty quickly, too.
22. Philadelphia - Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State.
I'll be honest, I have no idea who Philadelphia should pick. Pass rush is their biggest need imo, but the d-line values here were all DT's I didn't see faring very well with all the time Chip Kelly's offense would keep them on the field. I also didn't like any of the WRs here as replacements for DeSean Jackson that could be picked reasonably. They do look a little thin at corner, though, and if Roby's upside is as big as his rap sheet, this pick will be golden.
23. Kansas City - Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech.
Because they gave up 13 catches, 224 yards and 2 TDs to ONE GUY - T.Y. Hilton - in their epic playoff choke in Indianapolis.
24. Cincinnati - Ryan Shazier, LB, Ohio State.
Value stepped in over Andy Dalton's need for another receiver here. I've seen Shazier called this year's Alec Ogletree enough times to know he shouldn't fall too much farther, and he looks like a very nice fit in the Bengal D.
25. San Diego - Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota.
Hageman, an absolute athletic freak who plays like Warren Sapp some times and Damione Lewis other times, has also been due to come off the board for a while now. For instance, he'd be another pick I'd hate the Big Dead to make. San Diego almost got pushed off the field in Denver in the playoffs, so a more traditional anchor tackle like Louis Nix also looks sensible for them.
26. Cleveland - Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville.
Although we're talking Cleveland here. No way they could actually luck their way into this, is there? Knowing Cleveland, they'll screw it up and take Derek Carr, whose super-charged roar up the mock board is something for which I have no explanation.
27. New Orleans - Marquise Lee, WR, USC.
It still surprises me how speed-deficient the Saints are on offense. And that was last year when they still had Darren Sproles. I know I'm predicting way too many receivers to be picked in the first round, but the Saints need to start stretching the field again, then maybe pick up De'Anthony Thomas or Charles Sims in a later round to field the quarter-million screen passes they're still going to throw in that offense.
28. Carolina - Cyrus Kouandjio, T, Alabama.
The Panthers have nothing at tackle or receiver and will happily take the big 'Bama mauler here.
29. New England - Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville.
The Patriots' website listed two safeties on their roster. Pryor's a ridiculous value by now, mainly dropping in this mock just because he's a safety and that isn't a key need for a lot of teams. So, psst, Les Snead, I think you can trade down and still get him if you want. Also considered Nix here because New England also really got pushed around by Denver in the playoffs.
30. San Francisco - Joel Bitonio, G, Nevada.
Man, I hate the 49ers. Why do I give such great picks to the Rams' division opponents? Anyway, here's the best player available, and he's a classic pick of the current 49er regime, and they can start him at guard immediately and bump Mike Iupati over to center, getting weak link Jonathan Goodwin off the field and keeping weaker link Adam Snyder off the field.
31. Denver - Xavier Su'a-Filo, G, UCLA.
Look out, it's a run on guards! The Broncos are insanely deep at every position except guard, where Zane Beadles insanely jumped from the AFC champs to... the Jagwires?!?!?!?, but Su'a-Filo (a two-punctuation-mark name!) is a near-perfect fit.
32. Seattle - Keith McGill, DB, Utah.
McGill just looks like a classic pick of the John Schneider/Pete Carroll regime, doesn't he? Kiper and McShay and Mayock will all tell us what a bad draft value he is, and why are they drafting secondary anyway when they have Sherman and Thomas and Chancellor? Well, that secondary did take a couple of hits in free agency, with Brandon Browner going to the Patriots and Walter Thurmond to the Giants. McGill's a prototype Seattle DB at 6' 3.5". They'll get him to work there where he wouldn't work for a lot of other teams.
-$-
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