Saturday, March 9, 2013

Senior Bowl 2013

Finally, here it is, the last word on the 2013 Senior Bowl. No, literally the last word. It took me like a month to write this thing.

One of the things proved by last month’s Senior Bowl is that there really are players who play a lot better than they practice. Hailed throughout the NCAA season as the next Jason Pierre-Paul, BYU DE Ziggy Ansah looked more like Mrs. Paul in NFL Network’s coverage of Senior Bowl week. He played way too high in every drill, showed no ability to get off a block, no elite get-off to really pressure tackles much with his speed, no counter moves, got stood up repeatedly… watching the practice footage, you see a guy sliding from day one of April’s upcoming draft to day three.

Then, they put everybody in Mobile, AL in full pads and helmets, rolled a football out there, played the actual game… and Ziggy Ansah was an animal, and probably the real MVP of the game. He had at least two sacks, forced a fumble, had a ridiculous number of pressures, blew up screen passes, blew up end arounds, stopped the run... Granted, I didn’t see him attempt to breach the human wall known as Central Michigan OT Eric Fisher, but Ansah abused everyone else he went up against, players who will be drafted in respectable positions. Welcome back to the first round, Ziggy. 

The practice thing works the other way, too, unfortunately. You didn’t see a whole lot of flaws in Rutgers LB Khaseem Greene during practice week, but in the game, eesh. The game itself was won by the South 21-16, but the game wasn't really that close, and certainly wasn't offensively compelling. These college postseason games really need to unleash the hounds. Let the defenses blitz and press-cover. If the games are supposed to be showcases for the pros, then play the game the pros play. NFL teams need to know how well QBs read blitzes, how well RBs pick blitzers up, how well offensive lines adjust. They need to know what DBs can press cover, which ones can blitz, which WRs can beat a jam. If that seems like a lot for players to absorb in a week, well, send successful coaching staffs to these games instead of rewarding teams that sucked that season. Plus, it’s important to find out how quickly the rookies can catch on, right? Is this a job interview or a football camp? Opening up the defenses will also make the game more interesting to fans. There’s obviously the chance for big defensive plays, but what about the well-called, well-executed screen pass or draw play that beats a blitz? Those would open some eyes, as opposed to putting everybody but scouts trying to evaluate players in not-quite game conditions to sleep. 

RamView’s breakdown of the 2013 Senior Bowl’s top prospects, and suspects:

USA Today
* QB: E.J. Manuel scrambled for an early TD and threw for another to claim the game MVP award. He threw two pretty passes to TE Michael Williams, one down the seam for 19 and a perfect play-action 20-yard TD to him in the corner of the end zone. Manuel threw that with Margus Hunt bearing down on him. He ran well, made the best decisions and had the best pocket presence of the QBs there, but his inaccuracy with short throws was bothersome. Mike Glennon needed some time to get warmed up. He didn’t look good at much besides quick screens initially, but he came out firing after halftime. A bootleg and a dive to convert a 3rd down seemed to spark him; he followed that with a strong bootleg pass to Markus Wheaton for another first down. Glennon threw a couple more pretty passes later in the 3rd and also showed he could buy time in the pocket. Zac Dysert ran the hurry-up offense well at the end of the game, though mostly with dumpoffs to Kenyon Barner. Tyler Wilson showed better velocity on his throws than Manuel but should have had an underthrown bomb picked off in the 2nd. Ryan Nassib threw a poor INT in the 2nd after getting his timing thrown off by a poor shotgun snap, and he did not look very sharp in subsequent drives. He probably got the least help from his teammates of any of the QBs. The Senior Bowl was a disaster, though, for Landry Jones, easily the worst QB of the game. He came out throwing ugly and got progressively worse. He was scared in the pocket and bailed on all his throws, few of which were accurate. Any pressure on him at all got him one-hopping or throwing wide of perfectly open receivers. Poor accuracy, poor pocket presence, poor awareness, poor everything. As recent Big 12 spread QBs go, there’s much more Blaine Gabbert in this guy than Sam Bradford. IMO he needed a big Combine just to get back into the first two days of the draft.

* RB: The running games didn’t really get going till the 2nd half. Johnathan Franklin ran outside twice for 30 yards to get the North its first TD in the 3rd, showing excellent patience, use of blocks and cutting ability. He also ran through Robert Lester for the TD. Stepfan Taylor took advantage of bad overpursuit by Hunt with 20- and 15-yard runs in the 4th, and also showed he can move the pile and grind out tough yards. Those two were 1-2 for the game’s best RB honor. Mike Gillislee showed good burst on a couple of early runs, taking a draw for 13 and popping a read option off LT for 8. Mike James did some nice, patient middle running, and converted a 3rd down in the 1st by diving for the marker after making a tough catch on a screen pass. He also scored the South’s 3rd TD late in the game from the 5. Robbie Rouse’s small stature definitely makes him hard to find, and he did some good open-field running. When he got off the line of scrimmage, that is; he also got stuffed several times. Kenyon Barner was used almost exclusively as a dumpoff receiver, with a whopping 6 catches just on the North’s final drive, including a short swing pass for the TD. Earlier in the game, though, he had a drop, and created an INT by lollygagging out in the flat when Dysert was expecting him to continue his route downfield. Some capable prospects here, but no one very electrifying.

* WR/TE: My favorite receivers all week, Aaron Dobson and Tavarres King, barely even registered in this game, in what was mostly a dink- and dunk-fest. The best-regarded WR, Terrance Williams, didn’t do a whole lot, either. He had a catch with Robert Alford draped on him but never flashed elite speed. Both teams took some “shots” but no receiver stood out as much of a deep threat. Bama’s Williams looked good setting up the South’s 2nd TD with a catch down the seam, and then making a nice catch for the TD with T.J. McDonald right on him. Other TEs, though, like Nick Kasa and Vance McDonald, stood out mainly for their inability to block. The lack of decent blocking TEs in this year’s draft should earn Lance Kendricks some appreciation in 2013. Jack Doyle got open a couple of times and did block well. Marquise Goodwin looked like the North’s go-to guy. He showed he can get open on the quick hitches, slants and comebacks expected of a slot receiver and showed some deep speed. Connor Vernon worked the sidelines well in a similar role; he was the South’s guy for quick outs. Chris Harper continues to do his best Brandon Gibson impression. He’ll make the tough catch in close quarters or pull in a pretty sideline pass, but he won’t be open often. There were some viable slot receivers here, to add to the other three the Rams already have (or two, if they let their best receiver Danny Amendola go). But there’s no legit field-stretcher or big #1 type the Rams could really use. To take one very early would be as big a reach as they made last year with Brian Quick.

* Offensive line: I’m ready to declare Eric Fisher the best player in the draft regardless of position. If not him, it’s going to be an o-lineman. Fisher toyed with South DEs like a cat with a downed bird. He pancaked one and usually wouldn't even let them get off the line. Late in the 1st, Fisher cut off a rusher and completely punked him out, driving him into the pile in the middle of the line. Fisher has excellent size, elite footwork, is strong, nasty, finishes his blocks… I’m not sure what the guy doesn’t have. Unfortunately, I can see him going to the Big Dead in a lot of mock drafts. Lane Johnson wasn’t too far off the tone Fisher set. He was close to flawless in pass pro and showed mauling ability as a run blocker when he drove Michael Buchanan four yards off the line to open up a nice run for Gillislee. Brian Schwenke is a star-caliber center, witnessed when he decleated Sylvester Williams on Manuel’s TD run. At guard, he showed the athleticism to be an effective pull-blocker but really struggled in pass pro, lacking in lateral quickness and quickness off the ball. Schwenke and guard Larry Warford are mauling run-blockers; either should be able to help an NFL team quickly. Schwenke was just throwing people around late in the game as the South pounded out their last TD drive. He and Garrett Gilkey had big blocks on James’ TD run. Oday Aboushi improved all week and also had a solid game in pass pro against everyone but Ansah. Oddly, he got into more trouble after moving inside in the 2nd half, with Kawann Short whipping him with a spin move to pressure Wilson and kill a drive on 3rd down. Didn’t get to see a lot of Kyle Long, but he threw a beautiful cut block, in space, to spring a Rouse run in the 2nd. Ricky Wagner was paired with Fisher at RT but was nowhere near Fisher’s quality, getting abused by Ansah all game, struggling both with quickness and with bull rush. Wagner couldn’t stop Cornelius Washington, either, even when brutally holding him. Hugh Thornton delivered one of the best blocks of the game while pulling on Franklin’s TD run. Jordan Mills spelled Wagner at RT and was only a little better. Brandon Williams, a big guy, beat him with a speed move for a tackle-for-loss, while Datone Jones, a smaller guy, beat him at the end of the first half for a sack with a bull rush. Dan Quessenberry lined up at RT and RG but wasn’t the consistent force he had been in practice. Both he and Justin Pugh were beaten badly when Washington got a sack/fumble on Dysert in the 2nd, and Ansah went right through him in the 3rd for another sack/fumble. Pugh flashed elite pass pro skills at times but really struggled with Washington for the game. Gilkey did some solid run-blocking but had his troubles in pass pro. Joe Madsen had the bad shotgun snap that contributed to Nassib’s INT and struggled to block big John Jenkins on runs. The o-lines dominated practice all week, so it was surprising to see many of them struggle in the game. Fisher and Johnson look like the surest things. Schwenke and Warford should go off the board pretty early in day 2 to teams that need to improve their running games. Aboushi or Pugh could work out in an interior lineman/emergency tackle role, possibly also Quessenberry.

Sports Illustrated
* Defensive line: Ziggy Ansah probably should have won the game’s MVP award, or at least shared it with Cornelius Washington, who quietly had an outstanding game. The two DEs dominated the line of scrimmage for the South. Again, I’m not sure after seeing the game that there’s anything Ansah can’t do. He split the guard and tackle to blow up a screen in the 1st. He whipped the TE and had a couple of pressures just on his first series. He stuffed a Franklin run inside, and later got outside and stuffed speedy Denard Robinson on an end-around, and he got off of a good block by Doyle to do it. A lot of Ansah’s success was against the overwhelmed Wagner, but he also beat Quessenberry and Aboushi multiple times. I only wish they would have lined him up on Fisher. I missed it if they did. One thing to ding Ansah on is that he got away with a ridiculous amount of hands to the face; he should have been flagged for it three straight plays in the 2nd. Ansah sealed the game MVP award in my eyes in the 4th when he went through Quessenberry, and a chip blocker, to sack Nassib and strip him for the turnover. That wasn’t even his last sack; he beat Pugh to get Dysert late in the game. An epic performance for an all-star game. Washington was a consistent pass pressure force; in the 2nd, he blew up a screen despite being blatantly held by Wagner, and he whipped Pugh and walloped Dysert for a sack/fumble. The North had some good defensive performers but lacked that kind of impact. I’m not sure Alex Okafor even played. Datone Jones, though, was good in run pursuit and also bullrushed Mills for a sack at the end of the first half. DT Jordan Hill might have gotten part of that, too, thanks to a breathtaking rip move to beat Schwenke. Short was a good pass rush presence in the middle and was impressive beating Warford to stuff a draw in the 3rd. Excellent quickness and has a dangerous spin move. Brandon Williams also showed nice quickness in blowing up a couple of plays. Sylvester Williams didn’t flash to me as much as he apparently did to the experts, I think thanks to Warford and Schwenke. But he came on strong late. He can give you pass rush up the middle, clog the middle to stuff the run, and he also gets up and down the line well. Margus Hunt was terrible with overpursuit and single-handedly gave up a couple of big runs to Taylor late in the game. You have to play pass AND run defense in the pros, buddy. Michael Buchanan blocked a FG attempt, but otherwise had little success going up against Lane Johnson. Second-day pickup at best. As has been obvious from my recounting, Ansah was the big star here, and must have played his way into the top half of the first round.

* LB: Zaviar Gooden impressed all week at LB. In the game, he had an INT and showed he could both cover tight ends and cover backs out of the backfield. Sio Moore jumped in late in practice week and contributed right away in the game, stuffing a run in the first half and beating a double-team to sack Jones in the 4th. Moore just makes plays. Jeff Fisher is bound to like Florida State LB Vince Williams, who is the lumber-bringer in this year’s LB class. He showed it with a huge block on a long punt return in the 4th and a run stuff of Barner in the 3rd. Travis Johnson played here and in the Shrine Game, I believe, and was a solid open-field tackler in both games. Khaseem Greene impressed in Mobile up until opening kickoff. He was out of his lane on Alford’s long kick return. And though he does a good job not to be fooled on misdirection plays, Greene’s reaction was terrible on Manuel’s TD scramble, and the next drive, he broke the wrong way and left Gilleslee the whole middle of the field for a big gain on a draw. After he got stuffed cold by South fullback Tommy Bohanon late in the 1st, I never saw him again. For his sake, I hope that’s a trend that doesn’t last.

* Secondary: Robert Alford was the DB who got the best reviews during practice week, and he didn’t hurt his stock at all by returning the opening kickoff 95 yards. He’s also the rare back there who could disrupt timing routes. He showed great reaction time to break up quick slants and jump all over quick hitches. Alford locked up the game’s best DB award in the 4th with a sweet breakup of a sideline out and picking off a 2-point attempt. Jordan Poyer showed similar ability, and good range, and created a pick of Manuel in the 3rd, but should have been flagged for DPI. Marc Anthony had blanket coverage on an early bomb for Goodwin. B.J. Scott had good deep coverage on Goodwin in the 4th. Blidi Wreh-Wilson had at least three passes defended, and when he doesn’t get deked at the line, he can stick to receivers downfield. He was also good in run support. Teammate Dwayne Gratz is big and can close fast, but reaction time is the question. He wasn’t bad in run support, but did miss a tackle. At safety, where the Rams should be taking some good, hard looks in this draft class, the awesomely-named Bacarri Rambo had a pick, but had probably the worst missed tackle of the game, letting Goodwin get away on a screen late in the 3rd. T.J. McDonald showed some run-stuffing ability but also got beat by Williams for the 2nd South TD. Johnathan Cyprien made an excellent play in the 2nd to stuff a pass in the flat to TE Mychal Rivera, but cost North teammate Poyer an INT on a deep ball a little later, breaking up Poyer’s catch by clumsily attempting to make a play on the ball himself. So I don’t know what to say about his field awareness. There were safeties in this game who can definitely help the Rams, and Alford played like a first-round pick.

Takeaway: Huge week for Eric Fisher, who is the first offensive lineman I would pick out of an excellent draft class at the position. Ansah stormed into at least the mid-first round, with a bullet. Lane Johnson similarly proved himself a bona fide first-rounder, and could be in range when the Rams pick. Unfortunately, we have yet to see anybody stick out at the Rams’ other need positions. No one flashed at WR, RB or TE to merit a first-round pick. There were good safeties and LBs; a first-rounder? I’m not very sure. The best news for the Rams regarding this game is that they’re already set at QB. Teams needing help there aren’t going to get it from this game.

-$-

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