I dunno, I may be an idiot but I'm starting to feel like this game is going to be lower-scoring than everybody seems to think.
Obviously one of tonight's keys will be how Dwight Freeney's situation resolves itself. If the Colt pass rush is significantly affected, Drew Brees should pick their secondary apart. No one's expecting this to be much of a running game at all, yet, wouldn't it be wise strategy by either team to try to establish the run and keep the opposing offense off the field? But because of their still-overlooked run defense, which doesn't rely on Freeney, I like the Colts' chances of doing that a lot better than the Saints'. If there's a player who jumps up out of nowhere to become a big factor today, I say it's Joseph Addai. He'll be key as a runner and as a blitz pick-up man. I just don't see the Saints getting to Peyton Manning without gambling significantly with blitzes. Their secondary's good, but he'll pick them apart tonight anyway, especially when they blitz. And to steal a point from NFL Playbook, look for Peyton to do a lot of Gay-bashing tonight. Randall Gay, that is. If Donnie Avery can beat the guy for two TDs, what are the Colts wideouts going to do to him? And has anybody ever mentioned that Manning hasn't lost a game he played start-to-finish all season?
Yeah, I thought so. Ultimately tonight, it'll be too much Manning for the Saints to handle.
Official prediction: Colts 34, Saints 28. (down from 38-35)
No live blog tonight. Got pizza and wings to attend to.
Enjoy the game. Shouldn't be too hard.
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